Tuesday, December 3, 2013

RS Regulators 1

RS Regulators 1 “Commanding Heights”


            As a child growing up I was always intrigued by history, specifically the American wars and diplomacies of the past century. When it comes to history I have so many “whys”. Why is there war? Why is the world the way it is? Why is money different around the world? Why do we have a global economy? Back then I never thought about the wages of war, such things never cross my mind. At the time I was young and all I that stuck with me were the words and picture that were black and white. Everything was black and white to me until I watched the PBS documentary, “Commanding Heights: Episode One”. This documentary brought color to my mind. It helped me develop a new perception of politics, war, and terrorism in the sense of economics. Financially speaking, I grasped a better understanding of political decisions since the turn of the century and the economic theories that stimulated the outcome. Each significant global event of the past 100 years are valuable fragments that were forged by the resilient works of economist molding the global economy as we know it today. The everlasting debate amongst economists and politics decipher whether it is better to have more government control yielding a foolproof economic system or let the cards play out to let free markets fix themselves overtime?

In a condensed overview the documentary defines globalization as periods where free markets predominate, and countries place few if any limits on imports, exports, immigration and exchanges of information. Overall, they see globalization as a positive movement that improves the standard of living for all the people connected to it, from the richest to poorest.

Globalization has come about in stages of economists. The legends John Meynard Keynes and Friederich Hayek were the first to steer this world in a positive direction at the time of the Great Depression, notably one the world’s worst economic disasters. Keynes affirmatively implemented his idea that in times of economic disparity the government should spend money to create debt in order to stimulate the economy because eventually the economy will turn around and follow with a surplus or a boom. Many governments and people took this theory into consideration as did President Theodore Roosevelt with his New Deal package creating government agencies to generate new jobs for the unemployed. This is just a broad outlook on Keynesian economics but his strategies carried over to World War II as jobs that were needed on the home front to support the war effort. Positively, the United States was able to pull out of the Depression. This wasn’t the end of Keynes’ political influence as this economic policy spread globally to Eastern Europe, South America and Africa adopting the idea of socialism. On the other hand, Hayek was a firm believer in a free market economy. He described that an economy is to be similar to how a river works. In his own words Hayek illustrates “to survive the free market must be allowed to have its ebbs and flows”.  His metaphoric interpretation is that the free market flow like a river; there will be ups and downs twists and bends but in the end economy will work itself out to a stable momentum. Hayek believed that government regulation on the market would lead to government control and would ruin the economy. Both these men were not wrong with either of their policies because each economic tactic were successful but encountered flaws that stand to be corrected by future economists and analysts.

At the time of World War II, there was a worldwide depression and everyone was looking for a way out. As most of the world economies accepted either Keynesian economics or Hayek’s free market theory, two men did not. Not a surprise that Adolf Hitler along with Joseph Stalin despised this idea of capitalism and socialism because they faithfully trusted the philosophies of Carl Marx and Lenin. Hitler and Stalin shared this vision of one day globalizing the world, and forming a communist society with their own hands. These men dictated powerful countries, with powerful militaries which they used to their advantage as they were set out to destroy all capitalistic systems. This battle to fight against communism became a worldwide dilemma lasting for nearly 50 years. Countries were up in a toss and began forming diverse economies which eventually led to a crash in Europe because that was the dictator’s first targets.

 It was until the late 1970s, with Keynesian theory peaking and communism spreading like wildfire, when Margaret Thatcher was crowned the United Kingdom Prime Minister and Ronald Reagan was sworn in as President of the United States. Both of which took Keynesian economics and threw the policies out the window. Ironically they take Hayek’s free market ideas into consideration and begin to implement them into our government. Regan went a little off track with Hayek’s free market idea and decided it would be best to raise taxes and cut government spending in order to stable the market because we were spending too much for too long. This is not a bad idea on his part because he reinforces the monetary value of the US dollar decreasing volatility in the currency. Government control is necessary if needed but both believe it should not influence the free market economy because it can disrupt it because it is fragile in a sense.

          
             I cannot hold back how ecstatic I feel about this documentary because it is amongst the most informational videos I have yet to come across in which I recommend to any interested in the history of politics and business. In addition it was thought-provoking as I discovered how money and economics played such a vital role for the evolving inexperienced market driven global society. It is something new in history to consider the world to be globalized and market driven but it is clear why it has come about. Economics is all around us in every aspect of life but from this I learned it is how we go about to plan, foresee, stimulate, and regulate an economy to determine its present success as well as it potential for the future. 

"War used to be something you could stand on the nearby hill and watch. Now we have total war; everybody's in it. We have total economics as well. Everything affects everybody. The Malaysian currency shakes, and people around the world are seriously affected"- Salman Rushdie



Monday, December 2, 2013

RS REGULATORS 2


RS Regulators 2: “The Warning”



Greenspan, Summers, and Rubin (right to left)
            This blog post reports the American economy with regards to the build up towards the financial crisis which took place in 2008. PBS’s documentary, “The Warning” gives great insight to the series of events and decisions which impacted America’s economies. PBS targeted prestigious American Economists; Arthur Levitt, SEC Chairman, Lawrence Summers, Undersecretary for International Affairs (Clinton Administration), Robert Rubin, Secretary of United States Treasury (Clinton Administration), Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the Federal Reserve of the United States from 1987 to 2006, and most importantly Brooksly Born, chairperson of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

 
            “The Warning” was generally focused around Alan Greenspan and Brooksly Born, and their perspectives of the American economies stability during the booming financial period of the Clinton presidency (1993-1999). The United States Federal Government reached out to these elite economists for understanding and future preparation to maintain a successful/stable market economy in which endures government policies. It may have been a gender issue at the time, but while these 4 men debated Brooklyn Born’s outlook on Over the Counter Derivatives (OTC) her opinion did not matter what so ever (even though she was right). From Born’s standpoint it was like trying to draw blood from a stone because she was righteously determined to fight for regulation to fix the flaws within OTC derivatives. I personally believe that Brooksly was fighting for all the Americans that were steered the wrong way by the banks through loans and contracts, while the rest of the governing body realized the problem at hand but they [the upper-class/lobbyist] would benefit by shunning her tactics to increase OTC derivative government regulation.

           

            You may be wondering what exactly was “the warning” Brooksly Born was trying to provide our government with. In basic terms Born was trying to warn the government that we do not have a clue what was going on financially within our nation because there was no transparency, meaning there was no documentation or disclosure, of OTC derivatives. So what is an Over the Counter derivative? Well those in government as well as bankers claimed OTC’s to be to complicated to understand but simplistically it was a loop hole for the rich to get richer through stocks, bonds and exchanges. Investopedia.com provides a definition for OTC’s : “A security traded in some context other than on a formal exchange such as the NYSE, TSX, AMEX, etc. The phrase "over-the-counter" can be used to refer to stocks that trade via a dealer network as opposed to on a centralized exchange. It also refers to debt securities and other financial instruments such as derivatives, which are traded through a dealer network.” As you can see these trades were not being regulated and transactions were considered to be put in a dark room, metaphorically implicating these transaction were not and should not be governed even if fraud were to take place. This is madness because Greenspan hold strong to his policies and his main policy in agreement to Rubin was to let the market fix itself, even though they were sitting back on their asses profiting from this economic defect in addition to lobbying with the executive branch to bring down Brooksly. It was fight between those with morals and those with greed because all of these economists whom was on the Treasury Board knew they were wrong but they did not want to risk their assets or more importantly their social title as the most exclusive economists. This is what America is based on…GREED, and it has lingered our government for centuries to benefit them [the upper-class] as a whole to preserve the power they presumed.
Brooksly Born
 
            Brooksley Born is the type of women that woman today should look up to and admire. I thoroughly enjoyed watching this show and found it extremely informative and insightful. I have seen some on here who said that we should not blame Greenspan because the overall economy in the 90's was great. While that may be true, we have known for quite some time that we need to regulate and deregulation is not the key even though we continue to assume it will work. This proves that unregulated free markets do not correct themselves and goes to show regulation is top priority that should not be deferred. I always like to leave off my readers with a little food for thought by ending with a quote:

"We are trying to protect the money of the American People." -Brooksly Born